At. Nacional vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 2
REA
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AME
2 - 4
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EQU
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
NAC
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 0
PER
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SFE
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |