At. Nacional vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |