Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-2
At. Nacional vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 1
EME
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
RAC
1 - 1
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
3 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
RIV
1 - 0
RAC
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARM
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |