At. Nacional vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
GOD
51%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
3 - 2
PEÑ
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 1
PEÑ
44%
24%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
RAC
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
UCH
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |