At. Nacional vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 1
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 2
BUC
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
TOL
15%
26%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 3
EQU
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
PAT
60%
24%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |