At. Nacional vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
ENV
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
ONC
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BUC
0 - 1
PAT
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ENV
3 - 0
PAT
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 1
AGU
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |