At. Nacional vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
CHI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EQU
4 - 2
PAT
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 1
ENV
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |