At. Nacional vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 1
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
OPE
4 - 0
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
OPE
1 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
OPE
4 - 0
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPE
62%
19%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1973 |
JWI
1 - 0
OPE
62%
20%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |