At. Nacional vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
NAC
18%
27%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
ONC
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
ONC
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |