At. Nacional vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
31%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 3
NAC
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ONC
4 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EQU
2 - 0
ONC
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
ONC
33%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ONC
2 - 1
CHI
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |