At. Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
BUC
3 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
OLI
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
OLI
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |