Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 0-1
At. Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1991 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIG
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
LIG
2 - 2
NAC
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAR
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 28 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1991 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAC
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
CAC
1 - 1
OLI
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 3
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |