Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
At. Nacional vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1995 |
UCH
0 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
UCH
3 - 2
MIL
45%
24%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |