At. Nacional vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NAC
0 - 2
SAO
47%
29%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAO
46%
29%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
4 - 1
EME
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |