Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
At. Nacional vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 1
EME
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
4 - 1
EME
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 1
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |