At. Nacional vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SFE
2 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 2
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
CAL
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 2
AGU
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |