At. Nacional vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
CUC
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
LIB
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 2
AGU
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |