Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 5-0
At. Nacional vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
ATM
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
HUI
2 - 3
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
SEV
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
AYA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 1
AYA
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |