At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
38%
25%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
ENV
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
ENV
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 2
IND
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 2
IND
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |