At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
CUC
62%
24%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 3
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 2
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 2
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |