At. Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 0
ALI
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
64%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ROY
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AME
1 - 3
GUA
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |