At. Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
CHI
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 4
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEP
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
RÑU
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 2
GEN
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
CSL
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |