At. Nacional vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1993 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
CRZ
8 - 0
NAC
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
NAC
1 - 1
CRZ
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
AME
4 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLA
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1992 |
RAC
1 - 0
FLA
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1992 |
FLA
3 - 3
RAC
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
EST
1 - 1
FLA
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |