At. Nacional vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
UCH
4 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1997 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
ATS
1 - 1
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1999 |
ATS
2 - 2
MIR
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
ATS
3 - 0
TAC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
ATS
6 - 3
AME
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
MIR
3 - 3
ATS
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |