At. Nacional vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
UNI
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
PAT
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 1
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
1 - 3
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
BSC
58%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
GOD
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
EST
4 - 0
IVT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |