At. Nacional vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 3
TOL
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 1
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |