At. Nacional vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
ONC
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 3
NAC
35%
29%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
PER
58%
24%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 3
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
EQU
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
EQU
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
EQU
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |