At. Nacional vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ENV
3 - 0
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
JAG
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 1
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ENV
3 - 0
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |