At. Nacional vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAL
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
IND
2 - 1
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
CUC
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 2
JUN
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |