At. Nacional vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 0
HUI
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
ENV
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 1
CHI
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ENV
39%
28%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 3
CAL
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |