At. Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
AME
4 - 1
EME
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +6 |