At. Nacional vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 3
TOL
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
2 - 2
TAC
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 2
TOL
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |