Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 6-0
At. Nacional vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
13%
26%
61%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 5
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 2
MUN
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 5
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
4 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 0
GAR
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |