At. Nacional vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 3
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
0 - 0
CAL
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
2 - 1
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |