At. Nacional vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
POR
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
2 - 1
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
CAL
0 - 0
MIL
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1973 |
MIL
6 - 2
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |