Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
NAC
14%
27%
60%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
EQU
0 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAS
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |