Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 6-0
At. Nacional vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1989 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1989 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
DAN
2 - 1
COB
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
COB
0 - 2
DAN
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 3
DAN
95%
3%
2%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
3%
27%
71%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |