At. Nacional vs CS Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 0
TAC
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
TAC
1 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 3
NAC
12%
23%
65%
|
76 | 29 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 2
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CS Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
AME
2 - 0
MAR
88%
10%
3%
|
28 | 81 | 53 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
TAC
2 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 3
NAC
12%
23%
65%
|
29 | 76 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 1
AME
8%
18%
74%
|
29 | 81 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 0
TAC
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | +1 |