At. Nacional vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
EQU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 2
CUC
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HUI
0 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAT
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 3
MIL
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
EQU
1 - 0
CHI
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |