Copa Colombia Semi-finals
Global 2-0
At. Nacional vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 0
NAC
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAS
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |