At. Nacional vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
PER
68%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
EQU
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |