At. Nacional vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
16%
28%
56%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 1
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 1
DES
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -5 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 6
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +7 |