Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 4-2
At. Nacional vs Atlético Huila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 3
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Huila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
HUI
2 - 1
QUI
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
HUI
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
HUI
0 - 0
TFC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 4
CAL
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |