At. Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 3
ENV
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUC
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
PER
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
AME
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AME
4 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 1
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
CUC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |