At. Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SFE
3 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
HUI
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
19%
26%
56%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 2
NAC
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
COR
3 - 0
AME
32%
26%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
SFC
2 - 2
AME
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |