At. Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2002 |
COR
2 - 0
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
SFE
0 - 2
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
AME
3 - 1
ONC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 3
CAL
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |