Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-1
At. Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
65%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
AME
3 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ONC
3 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
AME
1 - 0
SFE
53%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 0
AME
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |