At. Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1993 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
CRZ
8 - 0
NAC
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
NAC
1 - 1
CRZ
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
AME
4 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
SCI
1 - 1
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 3
AME
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1993 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
AME
1 - 1
NOB
48%
30%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |