At. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 3
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -3 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 2
CHI
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EQU
1 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
MIL
23%
27%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HUI
2 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |