Copa Colombia Final
Global 2-0
At. Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAS
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
BUC
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAS
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |